9/26/2022 5:07:00 PM until 9/27/2022 1:15:00 AM

STORM SURGE WATCH IN EFFECT... ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT... A Storm Surge Watch means life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, is possible somewhere within this area within the next 48 hours A Tropical Storm Watch means tropical storm-force winds are possible somewhere within this area within the next 48 hours * LOCATIONS AFFECTED - Arlington - Jacksonville - Jacksonville Beach - Oceanway - Tallyrand * WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind - Peak Wind Forecast: 40-50 mph with gusts to 85 mph - Window for Tropical Storm force winds: Wednesday evening until Friday evening - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39 to 57 mph - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm force. - PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be underway. Prepare for limited wind damage. - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind becomes hazardous. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about. - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over. - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways. - Scattered power and communications outages. * STORM SURGE - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 2-4 feet above ground somewhere within surge prone areas - Window of concern: Wednesday morning until Friday morning - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground - PLAN: Plan for life-threatening storm surge flooding of greater than 3 feet above ground. - PREPARE: Storm surge flooding preparations should be underway. Assemble disaster supplies and know your evacuation route. - ACT: Leave if evacuation orders are given for your area. Failure to heed evacuation orders may result in the loss of your life. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant - This statement pertains to storm surge inundation up to 6 feet above normally dry ground for areas east of Interstate 95 in Duval County. - Oceanfront surge flooding will reach the dune line, with wave run up and over wash possible at the vehicle crossover points at Atlantic Boulevard, 8th Avenue North, Beach Boulevard and 16th Avenue South. - Most storm surge flooding that impacts the Jacksonville Beaches will inundate from the Intracoastal Waterway, with flooding along Sherman Creek into Atlantic Beach, Hopkins Creek to the Aquatic Drive area, and in drainage canals paralleling Seminole Road and 3rd Street. Storm surge flooding combined with heavy rainfall will likely flood these locations. Locations along Aquatic Drive, Skate Road, Cavalla Road, Sargo Road, the Atlantic Beach Police Station, Atlantic Beach City Hall, and several blocks on either side of 3rd Street, from Jarboe Park south to Huguenot Park, will experience major storm surge flooding. Kings Road Bridge will be impassable around times of high tide. - Low-lying neighborhoods near the immediate Intracoastal Waterway will likely have major storm surge flooding. This includes The Sanctuary area where storm surge flood water will inundate streets and flood into numerous homes. - Storm surge inundation will flood locations along Beach Boulevard near the Palm Cove Marina. Streets in the Isle of Palms will flood with storm surge and some single story homes will be inundated with surge flooding. Storm surge inundation will also enter some homes in Queens Harbor and along Greenfield and Mount Pleasant Creeks. Storm surge inundation will cover portions of the Wonderwood Expressway at Mount Pleasant Creek. Heckscher Drive will be inundated by storm surge flood water in areas including near Fire Station 40. - Storm surge flooding will occur on Blount Island and impact the Tallyrand Docks. Some homes in Chaseville near Reddie Point Preserve will flood. Waterfront areas of the Jacksonville Zoo will experience storm surge inundation. Flooding will occur along the banks of the Arlington River, with storm surge inundation into some homes in the Oak Haven area. Storm surge flooding will occur in Southampton with inundation up to 8 feet in depth near the Chamber of Commerce Building. Storm surge water will cover portions of the TIAA Bank Field. Portions of Eagle Bend and Black Hammock Island will experience storm surge inundation, including into some low-lying homes. - The combination of storm surge flooding and rainfall flooding will lead to more extensive total water flooding in some areas, including the Jacksonville Beaches. - Wildlife including reptiles and rodents are semi-aquatic and will be looking for high ground to escape storm surge and rainfall flooding. Snakes, raccoons and some insects including fire ants will seek higher elevations, and this may include homes surrounded by flood water. - This is a summary of surge impacts. Every neighborhood that will experience flooding is not mentioned. Please heed the advice of local Emergency Management. * FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - Peak Rainfall Amounts: 8-12 inches, with locally higher amounts - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major flooding rain - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are likely. - PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding. - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out. * TORNADO - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few tornadoes - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a few tornadoes. - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather arrives. - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions. - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings. * FOR MORE INFORMATION: - Family Emergency Plans (FEMA): http://ready.gov/hurricanes - Local weather conditions and forecasts: http://www.weather.gov/jax/