After a timid start to the Atlantic hurricane season, forecasters are advising that conditions have changed to allow for "above-normal" activity as the peak months of the season have arrived.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said in its mid-season outlook that an El Nino weather pattern in the Pacific Ocean has ended, leading to neutral conditions that are more favorable for tropical activity.
“El Nino typically suppresses Atlantic hurricane activity but now that its gone, we could see a busier season ahead,” said Gerry Bell, lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at NOAAs Climate Prediction Center.
“This evolution, combined with the more conducive conditions associated with the ongoing high-activity era for Atlantic hurricanes that began in 1995, increases the likelihood of above-normal activity this year.”