Issued by the National Weather Service and archived by Claims Pages
EXPIRED1/23/2024 3:37:00 PM (UTC)Urgency: FutureSeverity: UnknownCertainty: Possible
1/23/2024 3:37:00 PM until 1/24/2024 5:00:00 AM
Widespread Rain to Cause River Rises Over Next Several Days...
Ample moisture transport into the region over multiple days and
anomalous precipitable water of 1.2-1.5 inches will lead to
efficient rainfall accumulation. Expect 2-3 inches of rain over the
region through Thursday night. This amount of rainfall coupled with
cold ground temperatures and snow melt increases the potential for
runoff and minor flooding (both areal and river flooding). The
highest potential for minor flooding is in central and southern
Kentucky.
Looking at some ensemble guidance, the NAEFS shows a 65% chance of
reaching bankfull/action stage and a 25% chance of minor flooding
along Elkhorn Creak at Peaks Mill. Along the Green River at
Woodbury/Rochester Ferry, there is a 60-80% chance of reaching
action stage and a 40-45% chance of minor flooding. Along the Ohio
River, there is a 20% chance of minor flooding at McAlpine Upper.
However, there is a 70% chance of minor flooding downstream at Tell
City. River rises on the Ohio River will take place over several
days. For example, minor flooding at Tell City is possible as early
as January 27-28.
Rivers will begin to rise Wednesday, with flooding concerns
beginning to increase Thursday into the weekend.