Widespread Rain to Cause River Rises Over Next Several Days... Ample moisture transport into the region over multiple days and anomalous precipitable water of 1.2-1.5 inches will lead to efficient rainfall accumulation. Expect 2-3 inches of rain over the region through Thursday night. This amount of rainfall coupled with cold ground temperatures and snow melt increases the potential for runoff and minor flooding (both areal and river flooding). The highest potential for minor flooding is in central and southern Kentucky. Looking at some ensemble guidance, the NAEFS shows a 65% chance of reaching bankfull/action stage and a 25% chance of minor flooding along Elkhorn Creak at Peaks Mill. Along the Green River at Woodbury/Rochester Ferry, there is a 60-80% chance of reaching action stage and a 40-45% chance of minor flooding. Along the Ohio River, there is a 20% chance of minor flooding at McAlpine Upper. However, there is a 70% chance of minor flooding downstream at Tell City. River rises on the Ohio River will take place over several days. For example, minor flooding at Tell City is possible as early as January 27-28. Rivers will begin to rise Wednesday, with flooding concerns beginning to increase Thursday into the weekend.