Widespread Rain to Cause River Rises Over Next Several Days... Ample moisture transport into the region over the next couple of day along with anomalous precipitable water values of 1.3 to 1.5 inches will lead to effecient rainfall accumulation across the region. Our current forecast has 1.5 to 2 inches of rainfall occuring through Thursday night. This amount of rainfall coupled with cold ground temperatures and snow melt will increase the potential for runoff and minor flooding (both areal and river flooding). The highest potential for minor flooding will be in central and southern Kentucky. The two river basins of concern will be the Kentucky and Green River. NAEFS still shows about a 65% chance of reaching bankfull/action state and 40% chance of reaching minor flood along Elkorn Creek at Peaks Mill. On the Green river, Alvaton has about a 50% chance of reaching bankfull while Woodbury/Rochester have about 80-90% chance of reaching action stage with a 50-60% chance of reaching minor flood. Additionally, our new river point at Mammoth Cave has a 70% chance to reach action stage. Along the Ohio River, the most recent ensemble guidance shows less than a 10% chance of minor flooding at McAlpine upper and lower and down at Cannelton. Tell City has a 75% chance of hitting action stage and a 60% chance of hitting minor flood stage early next week.