Aspen Claims Service

Elon Musk Is Wrong About AI

 Friday, July 1, 2022

 Insurance Thought Leadership

Elon Musk has a habit of using Twitter and interviews to make big statements. For instance, Musk told Jack Dorsey via tweet that AGI-artificial general intelligence, or AI with the power and flexibility of human intelligence--would most likely be here by 2029.

And when Elon talks, people listen. But should they?

He has a history of making bold predictions, not always correct; those self-driving taxis he promised still aren’t here, for example.

In this particular instance, the idea that some quantum jump in AI is imminent might actually cause some people to panic, especially given that Musk himself once famously told a crowd at MIT that, "with artificial intelligence, we are summoning the demon."

At the same time, suggesting that humanlike intelligence is not far away might distract from all the current flaws in AI that so desperately need fixing. The truth is, there is a giant gap between today’s AI, which is largely pattern recognition, and the kind of Star Trek-computer-level AI that Musk is dreaming about.