...CENTER OF CRISTINA DRIFTING WESTWARD...
...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 600 PM CST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.5N 87.9W
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM WNW OF MANAGUA NICARAGUA
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SE OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Puerto Sandino, Nicaragua to the Guatemala/El Salvador border
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 600 PM CST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cristina was 
located near latitude 12.5 North, longitude 87.9 West. Cristina is 
drifting toward the west near 2 mph (4 km/h). A general 
west-northwestward motion at a slow forward speed is expected during 
the next couple of days. On the forecast track, Cristina should move 
near or along the coasts of Nicaragua, Honduras, and El Salvador 
through midweek.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. 
Slight strengthening is possible through Wednesday, with weakening 
expected Wednesday night or Thursday after Cristina moves inland. 
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Cristina can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP3 and WMO header WTPZ43 KNHC.
 
RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Cristina is expected to produce rainfall
totals of 4 to 8 inches, with maximum totals of 12 inches possible
across coastal portions Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador, and
Guatemala through Thursday morning. This rainfall may produce
life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of
steep terrain.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Tropical Storm Cristina, please see the National Weather Service
Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep3.shtml?rainqpf
 
STORM SURGE: Coastal flooding from storm surge is possible in areas
of onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by
large and damaging waves.
 
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to spread along
portions of the coast within the warning area tonight and Wednesday.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM CST.

Expires:No;;670384
WTPZ23 KNHC 290834
TCMEP3
 
REMNANTS OF HECTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082024
0900 UTC THU AUG 29 2024
 
REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 135.4W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 135.4W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 134.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 135.4W
 
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE 
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE SYSTEM 
PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER 
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.

Expires:No;;462327
WTPZ43 KNHC 092033
TCDEP3
 
Tropical Storm Cristina Discussion Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP032026
300 PM CST Tue Jun 09 2026
 
Convection has increased today in association with Cristina, and 
the low-level center is now concealed under the edge of the 
convective overcast.  This is likely due to a decrease in the 
northeasterly shear that has been affecting the cyclone. However, 
the convection is currently poorly organized, and most of the 
satellite intensity estimates are in the 30-40 kt range.  Based 
on these estimates, the initial intensity remains 35 kt.

The center continues to drift erratically near the northwest
coast of Nicaragua. While the future track remains uncertain, the 
latest track guidance is in somewhat better agreement that the 
cyclone will stay offshore for at least 24 h as it moves generally 
west-northwestward on the south side of a mid-level ridge. A 
subsequent more northwesterly motion would bring the center inland 
in about 36 h.  After landfall, a northwesterly motion is expected 
until the system dissipates over Central America.  The new forecast 
track is a little south of the previous track through 24 h, and 
after that is similar to the previous track.

Due to the combination of decreased shear and spending more time 
over water, the statistical-dynamical models suggests slight 
strengthening could occur during the next day or do. The new 
intensity forecast now shows a 40-kt intensity in 24 h, which is 
near the high end of the guidance.  After that, Cristina is expected 
to weaken due to land interaction, with the cyclone forecast to 
dissipate over land by 60 h.  
 
 
Key Messages:
 
1. Heavy rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Cristina will 
impact coastal portions of Central America through Thursday. This 
rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, 
especially in areas of steep terrain.
 
2. Tropical storm conditions, especially in gusts, are expected to
impact portions of the coast of Nicaragua, El Salvador, and Honduras
today and tonight.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  09/2100Z 12.7N  87.8W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  10/0600Z 12.8N  88.2W   35 KT  40 MPH
 24H  10/1800Z 13.0N  88.8W   40 KT  45 MPH
 36H  11/0600Z 13.5N  89.2W   35 KT  40 MPH...INLAND
 48H  11/1800Z 14.3N  89.8W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 60H  12/0600Z...DISSIPATED