Tropical Cyclone Flossie
Updated: 7/4/2025 12:13:53 AM (EST)
Storm Origin: Pacific
Wind Speed: 40 mph
Pressure: 1004 mb
Movement: 16 mph SW
Latitude: 18.4 N
Longitude: 120.2 W
Tropical Storm Wind Extent: 81 miles
TROPICAL CYCLONE FLOSSIE ADVISORY

...FLOSSIE NOW A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM MST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.2N 112.4W
ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM SW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM MST (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone 
Flossie was located near latitude 21.2 North, longitude 112.4 West. 
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northwest near 10 
mph (17 km/h). A general west-northwestward to northwestward 
motion is expected during the next couple of days.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h)
with higher gusts. Continued steady weakening is expected, and the 
post-tropical low is forecast to dissipate this weekend.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Flossie will continue to affect portions
of the coast of southwestern Mexico and the Baja California
peninsula for another day or so. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane 
Center on this system.  For additional information on the 
post-tropical low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the 
National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header 
FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php


TROPICAL CYCLONE FLOSSIE FORECAST

Expires:No;;053908
WTPZ21 KNHC 072031
TCMEP1
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FABIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062024
2100 UTC WED AUG 07 2024
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 120.2W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 225 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 120.2W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 119.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 120.2W
 
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM


TROPICAL CYCLONE FLOSSIE PROBABILITIES


TROPICAL CYCLONE FLOSSIE DISCUSSION

Expires:No;;824769
WTPZ41 KNHC 032030
TCDEP1
 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Flossie Discussion Number  19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP062025
200 PM MST Thu Jul 03 2025
 
Flossie has lacked organized deep convection for more than 12 hours
and no longer meets the criteria of a tropical cyclone.  Therefore,
the system is now considered a post-tropical low, and this is the
last NHC advisory.  A 1705 UTC ASCAT-B pass indicated that the
maximum winds have decreased to around 35 kt.
 
The post-tropical cyclone is moving northwestward at 9 kt.  This
general motion, within the low-level flow, is expected to continue 
for the next couple of days.  A combination of cool waters and dry 
air should lead to the dissipation of the post-tropical low this 
weekend.
 
For additional information on the post-tropical low please see High
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS
header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  03/2100Z 21.2N 112.4W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 12H  04/0600Z 22.1N 113.5W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  04/1800Z 23.2N 115.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  05/0600Z 24.1N 116.6W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  05/1800Z 24.7N 118.1W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  06/0600Z...DISSIPATED


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