
...GIL NOW A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE... ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.6N 135.7W ABOUT 1660 MI...2670 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ABOUT 1260 MI...2025 KM E OF HILO HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Gil was located near latitude 20.6 North, longitude 135.7 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph (30 km/h). A gradual decrease in forward speed is expected during the next couple of days, with a turn toward the west forecast by Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected over the next few days, and the post-tropical low is forecast to dissipate around midweek. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Gil. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
HURRICANE GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072024 1500 UTC TUE AUG 27 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 140.7W AT 27/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 120SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 140.7W AT 27/1500Z AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 140.1W FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.6N 142.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.9N 144.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.4N 146.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 19.9N 149.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 20.3N 151.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 20.8N 153.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 22.2N 158.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 140.7W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON GILMA CAN BE FOUND IN FORECAST/ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BEGINNING AT 2100 UTC...UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCMCP2...WMO HEADER WTPA22 PHFO.
Expires:No;;598514 WTPZ42 KNHC 031432 TCDEP2 Post-Tropical Cyclone Gil Discussion Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072025 500 AM HST Sun Aug 03 2025 Cool waters combined with a drier and more stable environment have taken their toll on Gil. The system has been devoid of deep convection overnight, with only an exposed swirl of low- to mid-level clouds remaining. The initial intensity is lowered to 45 kt, based on a blend of the latest subjective Dvorak estimates from TAFB and SAB and objective estimates from UW-CIMSS. Given the cool waters, dry and stable air, and strengthening west-southwesterly shear, no new organized convection is expected. Therefore, this will be the final advisory on the system as it has become post-tropical. Gil is expected to dissipate around midweek as it opens into a trough northeast of the Hawaiian Islands. The initial motion is estimated at 285/16 kt. The system is being steered by a low- to mid-level ridge to its north, and this general motion is expected to continue into tonight. A gradual decrease in forward speed is anticipated by Monday, followed by a turn toward the west as the shallow remnant low becomes steered by the low-level flow. The updated track forecast remains close to the previous advisory and continues to follow the tightly clustered guidance envelope. For additional information on the post-tropical low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/1500Z 20.6N 135.7W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 04/0000Z 21.2N 138.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 24H 04/1200Z 21.7N 141.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 05/0000Z 21.9N 143.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 05/1200Z 22.0N 146.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 06/0000Z 22.3N 149.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 06/1200Z 22.8N 151.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED