Tropical Storm Karina
Last Updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2020 @ 3:30:01 PM

Storm Origin: Pacific
Wind Speed: 40 mph
Pressure: 1004 mb
Movement: 8 mph NW
Latitude: 22.6 N
Longitude: 123.9 W
Tropical Storm Wind Extent: 92 miles
TROPICAL STORM KARINA ADVISORY / FORECAST
ADVISORY from National Hurricane Center:
...KARINA EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.6N 123.9W
ABOUT 890 MI...1435 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karina was
located near latitude 22.6 North, longitude 123.9 West.  Karina is
moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and a turn back 
toward the west-northwest is forecast today.  A slower westward 
motion is expected toward the end of the week.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. 
Continued weakening is forecast, and Karina is expected to become 
a remnant low by tonight.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT.


DISCUSSION from National Hurricane Center:
Expires:No;;901645
WTPZ41 KNHC 161436
TCDEP1
 
Tropical Storm Karina Discussion Number  15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP162020
800 AM PDT Wed Sep 16 2020
 
Very little deep convection with cloud tops of -40C remains this 
morning, and what’s left is located well to the west-northwest of 
the center of circulation.  There could still be a few 35-kt winds 
remaining in that particular area, which was identified earlier by 
a scatterometer pass, so the initial intensity is held at a generous 
35 kt for this advisory.  Karina is expected to continue traversing 
cooler waters while moving farther into an inhibiting thermodynamic 
environment and unfavorable upper-level winds.  Therefore, weakening 
is forecast and Karina should degenerate to a remnant low tonight.
 
The initial motion is estimated to be northwestward, or 310/7 kt. A 
turn back toward the west-northwest is expected later today and 
the cyclone should continue on this general motion through 
Thursday night.  A westward turn is forecast on Friday as Karina 
degenerates to a remnant low and is steered by the low-level 
tradewind flow. 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  16/1500Z 22.6N 123.9W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  17/0000Z 23.2N 125.0W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  17/1200Z 23.8N 126.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  18/0000Z 24.0N 127.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  18/1200Z 23.9N 128.2W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  19/0000Z 23.6N 129.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  19/1200Z...DISSIPATED