Remnants Of Roslyn
Last Updated: Monday, October 24, 2022 @ 10:14:06 AM
Storm Origin: Pacific
Wind Speed: 29 mph
Pressure: 1005 mb
Movement: 22 mph NE
Latitude: 26.0 N
Longitude: 101.0 W
REMNANTS OF ROSLYN ADVISORY / FORECAST
ADVISORY from National Hurricane Center:
...ROSLYN DISSIPATES OVER EAST-CENTRAL MEXICO... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.0N 101.0W ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM WNW OF MONTERREY MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the remnants of Roslyn were located near latitude 26.0 North, longitude 101.0 West. The remnants are moving toward the northeast near 22 mph (35 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue tonight. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Further weakening is likely overnight while the remnants lose their identity. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Roslyn’s remnants are expected to produce up to an additional inch of rain across northeastern Mexico and an additional 1 to 2 inches of rain across portions of coastal and west-central Mexico. This rainfall could lead to flash flooding and landslides in areas of rugged terrain. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system.
DISCUSSION from National Hurricane Center:
Expires:No;;929402 WTPZ44 KNHC 240237 TCDEP4 Remnants Of Roslyn Discussion Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192022 1000 PM CDT Sun Oct 23 2022 Surface observations and satellite images indicate that the low-level circulation of Roslyn has dissipated over east-central Mexico. The system is now primarily a lower-tropospheric vorticity maximum, which should continue to weaken overnight and ultimately be absorbed into a frontal boundary over Texas tomorrow. Roslyn’s remnants are moving quickly northeastward, at about 040/19 kt. This general motion should continue into early Monday. Although a 12-hour forecast position is provided for continuity, it is likely that the system will have lost its identity by that time. This is the last advisory on Roslyn. Key Messages: 1. Lingering heavy rainfall from the remnants of Roslyn could lead to flash flooding and possible landslides in areas of rugged terrain over coastal west-central Mexico. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 24/0300Z 26.0N 101.0W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 24/1200Z 28.0N 99.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED